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Post by the light works on Nov 16, 2020 17:11:38 GMT
You needed something as a backing up of my claim that we allowed the Japanese attack. If the memos and documents showing that Washington intended to allow Japan a first strike isn't enough for you, then that is your problem. (Said memos, notes from diary, etc. were the stated standard requested of me previously) I've done my job. Again, wait for Biden to respond to the Kimmel family. Besides, to speculate an answer for what Cyber stated, all I can say at this point is can you think of some examples elsewhere in history where a standing president asks his generals to do things that the generals think is not going to work or be wise? I sure can. there's a big difference between making the other guy throw the first punch, and giving the other guy a free hit at your trachea. the documentation that Washington intended to leave the first strike to Japan doesn't in any way demonstrate that they had an intent to allow that attack to do significant damage to the US fleet, or to be carried out without a strong defense.
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Post by the light works on Nov 16, 2020 17:20:37 GMT
to be more specific: there are three possibilities: first, and one that nobody can really argue - that Washington was blissfully unaware of Japanese aggression. second - that Washington was aware of Japanese aggression, knew that it was going to turn into a shooting war, and was determined to for Japan into the role of the aggressor by refusing to fire the first shot; but didn't pay enough attention to figure out the first shot would be an attack on pearl harbor. third: that the administration knew about Japanese aggression, got and understood enough information to know that Japan had committed to a plan to attack pearl harbor, and decided to allow the attack to succeed, because they thought it would take that extreme an incident to break the US out of its reluctance to go to war.
I am arguing the second. and I am under the impression that you are arguing the third.
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Post by rmc on Nov 16, 2020 17:40:27 GMT
Many, like admiral Kimmel wouldn't have stood by and not pushed back on the "let them hit first", or that seems to have been the cabinet's worry. Thus, we end up with a messy situation, a lot of stuff exposed, not properly protected, etc.
If Washington tried to argue, "let's let hit first... but you go ahead and take reasonable precautions" there is no telling how messy that would have gotten. So, it likely stayed pretty close to the top, having simply not informed people appropriately.
Anyway, it looks to me that there is plenty out there to at least make my claim that we allowed it less than my merely having another mental health relapse or something.
Let's see how this plays out.
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Post by the light works on Nov 16, 2020 20:42:13 GMT
Many, like admiral Kimmel wouldn't have stood by and not pushed back on the "let them hit first", or that seems to have been the cabinet's worry. Thus, we end up with a messy situation, a lot of stuff exposed, not properly protected, etc. If Washington tried to argue, "let's let hit first... but you go ahead and take reasonable precautions" there is no telling how messy that would have gotten. So, it likely stayed pretty close to the top, having simply not informed people appropriately. Anyway, it looks to me that there is plenty out there to at least make my claim that we allowed it less than my merely having another mental health relapse or something. Let's see how this plays out. I have a fellow firefighter (well, he's off doing other things, now)who did two tours in Baghdad. the rules of engagement for the second tour were to make them be the aggressor. yes, it's more stressful than being allowed to shoot first, but it's a valid ROE. Harvard also did a study of why Kimmel and his army counterpart were scapegoated. their conclusion was that it was so Roosevelt could save face. but it also included this conclusion: from this paper dash.harvard.edu/bitstream/handle/1/37365049/GRIMALDI-DOCUMENT-2020.pdf?sequence=1
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Post by rmc on Nov 16, 2020 21:31:43 GMT
That whole line, "thought the Japanese couldn't sail that far *undetected*" has been a mainstay in defense of Washington. And it remains true if you think about it. That statement turns up in droves. It's been floated around everywhere.
That statement starts to reveal just how true it is when evidence that the Japanese fleet was not only detected (such that the statement about their being unable to remain undetected stays true), but that the knowledge of their detection wasn't passed along. So it ONLY LOOKS like they somehow remained undetected (as if against the odds!!), when, in fact, they WERE detected just like that notion states. Plus it goes to show how little time there was once detected. To make best use of it (even though potentially destructive) one could only hang on to the communique until sufficiently later, all-the-while gambling it doesn't end up a throat punch. There was one opportunity. It had presented itself, imperfect as it was. Time to go with it.
There are also arguments about storms hiding the Japanese, and messengers not passing along messages. We can discuss those too, if you like.
Furthermore, in the article where you said Washington cleared out the pacific to provide plenty of juicy targets out and around the Pacific also *fits* the argument that Washington cleared out the Pacific ocean (of OUR fleet) in order to pack the fleet into Pearl, thereby creating one lone highly juicy target. (I don't know that, but it fits anyway... further supported by documents reporting Kimmel sent the fleet to a northern island, but Washington directed it return to Pearl)
Americans thinking of the abilities of Japanese fleet is different than the staff in Washington considering it.
Anyway, FDR's diary has come into question. It provides motive to allow such an attack, once *detected*.
Such that...
The japanese attack on Pearl harbor was allowed so at to break U.S. Isolationism (and spin around U.S. industry from fighting Communism, by attempting to support a German proxy, to fighting Fascism by defeating Germany itself)
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Post by the light works on Nov 16, 2020 22:43:57 GMT
That whole line, "thought the Japanese couldn't sail that far *undetected*" has been a mainstay in defense of Washington. And it remains true if you think about it. That statement turns up in droves. It's been floated around everywhere. That statement starts to reveal just how true it is when evidence that the Japanese fleet was not only detected (such that the statement about their being unable to remain undetected stays true), but that the knowledge of their detection wasn't passed along. So it ONLY LOOKS like they somehow remained undetected (as if against the odds!!), when, in fact, they WERE detected just like that notion states. Plus it goes to show how little time there was once detected. To make best use of it (even though potentially destructive) one could only hang on to the communique until sufficiently later, all-the-while gambling it doesn't end up a throat punch. There was one opportunity. It had presented itself, imperfect as it was. Time to go with it. Furthermore, in the article where you said Washington cleared out the pacific to provide plenty of juicy targets out and around the Pacific also *fits* the argument that Washington cleared out the Pacific ocean (of OUR fleet) in order to pack the fleet into Pearl, thereby creating one lone highly juicy target. (I don't know that, but it fits anyway... further supported by documents reporting Kimmel sent the fleet to a northern island, but Washington directed it return to Pearl) Americans thinking of the abilities of Japanese fleet is different than the staff in Washington considering it. Anyway, the diary has come into question. It provides motive to allow such an attack, once *detected*. Such that... The japanese attack on Pearl harbor was allowed so at to break U.S. Isolationism (and spin around U.S. industry from fighting Communism, using a German proxy, to fighting Fascism by defeating Germany itself) great, you have motive. now you only have to prove opportunity and intent. opportunity requires proof that the boffins in Washington knew the attack was aimed at pearl harbor. then you have to show proof that there was an order given to allow the attack to succeed. and no, covering their own failure by scapegoating someone else is not proof. otherwise you've just proven that captain nope committed an attempted genocide of liberals in the US with COVID in order to secure his reelection.
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Post by rmc on Nov 16, 2020 22:47:25 GMT
Since Kimmel's family and Biden, then Senator Biden, have all those details, apparently, I implore you to wait for those details thusly.
Thanks.
And, above, on one of these pages, the communication states the day and place of the attack. So Washington, the interceptor of this information, had your so called "opportunity"
"Intent" is right there in the diary, wanting Japan to strike first.
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Post by the light works on Nov 16, 2020 23:14:30 GMT
Since Kimmel's family and Biden, then Senator Biden, have all those details, apparently, I implore you to wait for those details thusly. Thanks. And, above, on one of these pages, the communication states the day and place of the attack. So Washington, the interceptor of this information, had your so called "opportunity" "Intent" is right there in the diary, wanting Japan to strike first. I'm having trouble finding the citation, perhaps you could give me a better link to where the diary said "we want Japan to carry out a successful sneak attack at pearl harbor and destroy all but two of our battleships in the pacific and put us at a huge disadvantage before we go to war against them." I've already pointed out that there is a difference between forcing your opponent to make the first move, and allowing your opponent to make an unopposed devastating first strike. wanting japan to strike first proves NOTHING except that Roosevelt wanted clear proof that Japan was the aggressor in the pacific.
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Post by rmc on Nov 16, 2020 23:34:57 GMT
Obviously, nobody knew how allowing Japan to strike first would turn out...
Especially when you realize (even though you'd like to warn your folks) you can't do anything other than sit on the information for some amount of time. Turn over the information too soon, and the attack is minimal. (Another Atlantic skirmish) Too late, and, well, the attack goes like it did.
Kimmel doesn't state delayed intelligence, though. That's apparently not what he's complaining about. He states Denied Intelligence.
And, Biden has looked it over and agreed it looks to be. Otherwise he wouldn't associate so kindly with it all. We need to see if what looks like will happen, happens.
For Pete's sake, why can you not drop this? Just walk away from the keyboard why don't you.
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Post by the light works on Nov 16, 2020 23:43:42 GMT
Obviously, nobody knew how allowing Japan to strike first would turn out... Especially when you realize (even though you'd like to warn your folks) you can't do anything other than sit on the information for some amount of time. Turn over the information too soon, and the attack is minimal. (Another Atlantic skirmish) Too late, and, well, the attack goes like it did. Kimmel doesn't state delayed intelligence, though. That's apparently not what he's complaining about. He states Denied Intelligence. And, Biden has looked it over and agreed it looks to be. Otherwise he wouldn't associate so kindly with it all. We need to see if what looks like will happen, happens. For Pete's sake, why can you not drop this? Just walk away from the keyboard why don't you. you're claiming they did. by claiming their decision to force Japan to fire the first shot proves they knew about the pearl harbor attack and decided not to do anything about it; that is exactly the claim you are making.
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Post by rmc on Nov 16, 2020 23:49:40 GMT
I'm not claiming. Im retelling what Kimmel has stated AND, the new part ---
How Biden is stepping in.
If he's stepping in to apparently help the Kimmel's then he supports Kimmel and Stark.
That's the game changer, or so I "claim" that much.
Yes, I claim that the question this whole thread lists under "Pearl Harbor was allowed so as to break US isolationism?" is worth looking at again...
Because, apparently, Biden is changing something in favor of Kimmel.
The question then gets an answer of some sort.
Got it?
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Post by the light works on Nov 16, 2020 23:52:59 GMT
I'm not claiming. Im retelling what Kimmel has stated AND, the new part --- How Biden is stepping in. If he's stepping in to apparently help the Kimmel's then he supports Kimmel and Stark. That's the game changer, or so I "claim" that much. Yes, I claim that the question this whole thread lists under "Pearl Harbor was allowed so as to break US isolationism?" is worth looking at again... Because, apparently, Biden is changing something in favor of Kimmel. The question then gets an answer of some sort. Got it? the answer that gives is that Washington was culpable for dropping the ball.
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Post by rmc on Nov 16, 2020 23:56:08 GMT
They have the date and location of the attack. Kimmel states that information was denied him (not delayed, at least that is how he puts it). They also have prior discussions about their desire to have Japan strike first.
And, now Biden is supposed to correct the issues the Kimmels complain about.
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Post by rmc on Nov 17, 2020 0:02:38 GMT
I'm not claiming. Im retelling what Kimmel has stated AND, the new part --- How Biden is stepping in. If he's stepping in to apparently help the Kimmel's then he supports Kimmel and Stark. That's the game changer, or so I "claim" that much. Yes, I claim that the question this whole thread lists under "Pearl Harbor was allowed so as to break US isolationism?" is worth looking at again... Because, apparently, Biden is changing something in favor of Kimmel. The question then gets an answer of some sort. Got it? the answer that gives is that Washington was culpable for dropping the ball. You don't know what "answer that gives" until Biden has made his case for any correction. But, I guess you are better than Biden. Or at least you think you know better than him. Because you sure don't think the Kimmel's deserve a do over.
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Post by the light works on Nov 17, 2020 0:15:38 GMT
the answer that gives is that Washington was culpable for dropping the ball. You don't know what "answer that gives" until Biden has made his case for any correction. But, I guess you are better than Biden. Or at least you think you know better than him. Because you sure don't think the Kimmel's deserve a do over. now you KNOW that I said earlier I believe kimmel and his counterpart deserve to be exonerated. but for the sake of argument, if Biden says Kimmel is exonerated because washington knew the attack was going to happen and wanted it to succeed in order to get the US into the war in europe, then he will have made your point.
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Post by rmc on Nov 17, 2020 0:17:45 GMT
With the available elements it would LOOK like it's building to that.
But, I don't know. Thus, the question.
And.. by the way...
I HAVE NO IDEA WHAT ALL YOU'VE SAID IN HERE BECAUSE THIS THREAD IS NOW UTTERLY JACKED!!! WOULD TAKE DAYS TO GO THROUGH IT ALL AGAIN!!
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Post by the light works on Nov 17, 2020 0:33:55 GMT
With the available elements it would LOOK like it's building to that. But, I don't know. Thus, the question. And.. by the way... I HAVE NO IDEA WHAT ALL YOU'VE SAID IN HERE BECAUSE THIS THREAD IS NOW UTTERLY JACKED!!! WOULD TAKE DAYS TO GO THROUGH IT ALL AGAIN!! Nov 14, 2020 at 8:59am Quote Edit like Post Options Post by the light works on Nov 14, 2020 at 8:59am rmc Avatar Nov 14, 2020 at 8:51am rmc said: Just wait til Biden, now President Biden finishes what he promised the Kimmel family he'd do. Can we just agree to that? Seems far more simple than trying to twist and spin endlessly, for what looks like to me as face-saving retorts at this point. I do agree that clearing Kimmel's name is in order. reasons aside, we can agree that the ball was dropped at the highest levels.
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Post by rmc on Nov 17, 2020 10:55:04 GMT
Just wait til Biden, now President Biden finishes what he promised the Kimmel family he'd do. Can we just agree to that? Seems far more simple than trying to twist and spin endlessly, for what looks like to me as face-saving retorts at this point. I do agree that clearing Kimmel's name is in order. reasons aside, we can agree that the ball was dropped at the highest levels. I'd almost agree if your statement included something about it being suspicious. Suspicious enough that papers are written about it, even til this day. And, admirals aren't in agreement that Kimmel deserved being blamed, etc. Because knowing FDR desired a Japanese first strike, knowing that FDR himself was not a military man, and things start looking horribly suspicious when you look at the rest of it... Like many other regular Americans, FDR likely thought in terms of battleships rather than aircraft carriers due to memories of world war one. But, by 1940, many in the navy were starting to realize what aircraft carriers could do. Due to striking differences between FDR and some in the military, it certainly looks as though FDR underestimated what could happen if he got what he wanted with a Japanese first strike... and may have been going further against certain Naval commanders by ordering the delay of certain communications... the return of the fleet back into Pearl instead of leaving the fleet near the northern islands... But, we've never seen a president in disagreement with his military. No. Never. Many things have been said to counter the notions proposed here: the Japanese were thought to be unable to make it that far without being detected. Well, they were detected just as predicted. But, the information became suspiciously delayed. Another argument has been that most thought Japan didn't have the technology to make such an attack. Well, the Japanese fleet and capabilies of their fleet had been carefully looked at by 1940, at least by the military it had. Perhaps non military, including the president still thought in terms of world war one strategy, but military was certainly getting up to speed. And, lastly, it was argued that the prevailing thought at the time was that Japan would hit the Philippines. However, there were articles showing up November 30, 1941 in commonplace news papers all throughout Hawaii discussing how Japan could hit and hit by the coming weekend. So it doesn't sound like everyone discounted the Pearl as a target. There was a huge turn around that needed to happen: FDR campaigned to the American public on promises to stay out of the war. Most of the world since as early as 1905, including America, wanted little to do with the rise of Communism, even going as far as helping the new kid on the block who promised to directly fight communism: Adolf Hitler. That's right. A lot of people outside Germany backed him, at least until 1936 or so. Apparently, it was believed to be better to support a fascist than try to take on a communist. But, by 1940, (and even three years before that) FDR, Churchill and others could see that we needed desperately to reverse course. Fight fascism rather than back it, enter the war against it rather than sitting idly by. To make THAT 180 degree turn would require being hit, and being hit first. Would military appreciate the concern for an atmosphere of supportive public opinion when soldiers and assets were at risk for such a strike? Likely not. The president wanted a political strike somewhere against the U.S. He mismanaged and underestimated what he was asking for, and military, like Kimmel & Stark, dealt with it the best they could... The highest level in U.S. allowed Japan to hit Pearl Harbor not realizing what force Japan had. Meanwhile, Japan took that bait not realizing what force it would awaken.
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Post by Cybermortis on Nov 20, 2020 4:23:53 GMT
Of course the US was waiting for a first strike from Japan. The US oil embargo had hit Japan hard and they were running out of fuel. Japan's options were to either stop their advances into China or to attempt to take the oil fields in the Dutch East Indies.
Taking the oil fields would, however, most likely mandate an attack on the American held Philippines. Otherwise Japan's entire supply lines to and from the oil fields would be dangerously exposed to American forces. It was also rather unlikely that the US, having put the embargo in place, would fail to act if Japan decided to circumvent that embargo by forcefully capturing oil fields. Even without a direct attack on the US, national pride would probably swing the balance towards the US actually doing something rather more aggressive.
In essence Roosevelt was throwing down a gauntlet and saying 'your move creep'. Then waiting to see what Japan did. He most likely understood that the Imperial Japanese mindset would most likely consider the idea of pulling out of China unacceptable. Which would mean that the only option available to them would be considered to be war.
That the Japanese fleet managed to avoid detection is hardly a huge surprise. This was 1941, so no satellite images, few ships even have radar at this point and what sets are around have a range of only a few miles in regards surface targets. The furthest you can possibly detect a fleet is around 150 miles of a carrier, and roughly 660 miles with land based aircraft; Assuming good weather and a bit of luck. Both US and Japanese scout aircraft managed to miss each others main fleets when they were only a hundred miles or so apart more than once. So your scouting range is maybe 300 miles or less. As the Pacific is some 165 million km in area, you can cover about 0.68% of the Pacific per land base. Unless the Japanese were stupid enough to sail along a known shipping route with lots of ships. It would be more surprising if their fleet had been detected when you look at things that way. They also had the sense not to use radio communications that could be detected and give an idea as to where they were.
I'm going to reiterate what I said before; This only makes sense if you know, with 100% certainly, that the Japanese would not attack the fuel storage tanks. These were thin sheet metal, a single aircraft could easily put holes in them with machine guns alone. Loosing the fuel storage tanks would have utterly crippled the US Navy. Even if the tanks had 'only' been shot up with machine gun fire and the structural parts were intact. Meaning that the holes could be patched up locally. Restocking those tanks would take over a year. And yes, Pearl Harbor does have huge underground fuel storage areas carrier based aircraft of the time couldn't have scratched. However these were not completed in late 1941.
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Post by rmc on Nov 20, 2020 12:58:10 GMT
The attack on Pearl was devastating. Almost utterly undefended.
Still, there remained enough fuel reserves for Doolittle's air raid on Japan & Midway.
Roosevelt (who was not ever a military man) simply took a gamble; one that some Naval commanders didn't necessarily agree with. And, also, before I forget about it, clearing the pacific was deemed necessary to get a clear lock on their fleet's movement.
And they DID NOT go undetected. This proof is now several pages back, but newspapers in Hawaii were aware Japan's fleet was on the move -- so too then did U.S. Navy. The article on November 30, 1941 states that they expected the fleet to attack by the weekend, December 6, 1941.
That means the fleet has about 1,100 to 1,500 miles to get wherever they are going within 6 days at fleet speed. Since the Japanese actually DID make an attack on Hawaii by December 6th, as predicted, that means they were 1,500 miles from Hawaii. Having already gone 3,000 miles by the time they were detected, ALREADY PAST PHILIPPINES.
See? Maths are useful.
The messages regarding their specific location (the message Kimmel talks about ... a lot!) and also the information during that meeting with the Japanese in Washington were all delayed, ... intentionally.
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